Study and development of hybrid and ensemble forecasting models for air quality index forecasting Sushree Subhaprada Pradhan, Sibarama Panigrahi, Sourav Kumar Purohit, Jatindra Kumar Dash Expert Systems, 2023 In this paper, a viable, robust, and highly accurate additive hybrid model employing autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and support vector machine (SVM) with functionally expanded inputs (Additive‐ARFIMA‐SVM) is presented for forecasting the air quality index (AQI). Additionally, thirteen additive and multiplicative hybrid models are introduced. Several alternatives in feature engineering employing functional expansion of inputs are incorporated to boost the performance of hybrid models. Furthermore, a gradient whale optimization algorithm with group best leader strategy (GWOA‐GBL) based meta‐heuristic algorithm is proposed. The missing values are imputed and a variable weight ensemble forecasting model is developed using the proposed GWOA‐GBL algorithm. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed Additive‐ARFIMA‐SVM forecasting model with functionally expanded inputs, comparisons are made with sixteen machine learning models, including long short‐term memory (LSTM), five statistical models, seventeen hybrid models, and ten variable weight ensemble models. Extensive statistical analyses are carried out on the obtained results considering four accuracy measures that show the statistical supremacy of the proposed Additive‐ARFIMA‐SVM model and GWOA‐GBL algorithm in predicting the AQI time series. The proposed Additive‐ARFIMA‐SVM model with functionally expanded inputs improves the AQI forecasting performance by 16.34% than autoregressive integrated moving average, 14.47% than ARFIMA, 33.96% than XGBoost, 43.47% than SVM, 49.39% than LSTM, 8.64% than Multiplicative‐ARIMA‐SVM model considering symmetric mean absolute percentage error. The proposed Additive‐ARFIMA‐SVM model is so efficient and reliable that it can be applied to forecast other time series like stock price, electricity load, crude oil price, sunspot number, stream flow, flood, drought etc.
Accurate Air Quality Index Prediction Using Variational Mode Decomposition and Stacked Ensemble Learning SS Pradhan, KK Dora, SK Purohit International Conference on Computing, Communication and Learning, 207-222 , 2025 2025.0
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Study and development of hybrid and ensemble forecasting models for air quality index forecasting SS Pradhan, S Panigrahi, SK Purohit, JK Dash Expert Systems 40 (10), e13449 , 2023 2023.0 Citations: 8
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A Novel Series-Parallel Hybrid Method Employing Fusion of Deep Features for Air Quality Index Forecasting SS Pradhan, S Panigrahi, SK Purohit Available at SSRN 5275908 , 0
MOST CITED SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS
Time series forecasting of price of agricultural products using hybrid methods SK Purohit, S Panigrahi, PK Sethy, SK Behera Applied Artificial Intelligence 35 (15), 1388-1406 , 2021 2021.0 Citations: 113
Novel deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods for crude oil price employing optimized deep learning, statistical and hybrid models SK Purohit, S Panigrahi Information Sciences 658, 120021 , 2024 2024.0 Citations: 37
Study and development of hybrid and ensemble forecasting models for air quality index forecasting SS Pradhan, S Panigrahi, SK Purohit, JK Dash Expert Systems 40 (10), e13449 , 2023 2023.0 Citations: 8
Forecasting crude oil prices: a machine learning perspective SK Purohit, S Panigrahi International Conference on Computing, Communication and Learning, 15-26 , 2023 2023.0 Citations: 5
Decomposition-based hybrid methods employing statistical, machine learning, and deep learning models for crude oil price forecasting SK Purohit, S Panigrahi Neural Computing and Applications 37 (18), 12565-12610 , 2025 2025.0 Citations: 4
Crude oil price forecasting using hybridization of optimized deep learning and shallow machine learning models SK Purohit, S Panigrahi, AN Jena International Conference on Computing, Communication and Learning, 3-16 , 2024 2024.0 Citations: 2
Ranking Optimised Statistical Models for Time Series Forecasting of Crude Oil Price SK Purohit, S Panigrahi Computing, Communication and Intelligence, 177-181 , 2025 2025.0 Citations: 1
Accurate Air Quality Index Prediction Using Variational Mode Decomposition and Stacked Ensemble Learning SS Pradhan, KK Dora, SK Purohit International Conference on Computing, Communication and Learning, 207-222 , 2025 2025.0
A Novel Series-Parallel Hybrid Method Employing Fusion of Deep Features for Air Quality Index Forecasting SS Pradhan, S Panigrahi, SK Purohit Available at SSRN 5275908 , 0