Silu Muduli

@rbi.org.in

Economist
Reserve Bank of India

Silu Muduli
9

Scopus Publications

152

Scholar Citations

7

Scholar h-index

5

Scholar i10-index

Scopus Publications

  • Funding Liquidity and Risk-Taking Behavior of Banks in India
    Silu Muduli, Shridhar Kumar Dash
    Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 2025
    This study, utilizing bank-level data for India, investigates the relationship between funding liquidity and banks’ risk-taking behavior. The study uses two risk measures: risk-weighted assets (encompassing credit, market, and operational risk) and liquidity creation (encompassing intermediacy risk). Findings reveal that banks with higher funding liquidity exhibit higher risk-taking behavior. This risk-taking behavior is more pronounced during economic recuperation and expansionary monetary policy phases. Notably, during economic recuperation, banks display heightened intermediacy risk, contrasting with the absence of such evidence during expansionary monetary policy phases. Larger banks with higher deposit shares demonstrate lower risk-taking behavior. Additionally, banks with a return on equity (ROE) below the average ROE exhibit a proclivity for increased risk-taking. This study advocates for liquidity regulation as a crucial complement to bank capital regulation, offering empirical support for moderate risk-taking among highly liquid banks and fortify their balance sheets for a stable banking system in India. JEL Codes: E32, E52, G21, G28
  • Post-pandemic Credit Allocation and Real Economic Activities: Evidence from Indian Firms
    Arpita Agarwal, Rishuka Bansal, Silu Muduli
    Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2025
  • Creditworthiness: The Role of Trust in the Socioeconomic Network
    Silu Muduli, Shridhar Kumar Dash
    Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2024
  • Taming Inflation by Anchoring Inflation Expectations
    Economic and Political Weekly, 2023
  • Bank capital and monetary policy transmission in India
    Silu Muduli, Harendra Behera
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 2023
    This paper examines the role of bank capital in monetary policy transmission in India during the post-global financial crisis period. Empirical results show that banks with higher capital-to-risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR) raise funds at a lower cost. Additionally, banks with higher CRAR transmit monetary policy impulses smoothly, while stressed assets in the banking sector hinder transmission. Recapitalization to raise CRAR can improve transmission; however, CRAR above a certain threshold level may not help as the sensitivity of loan growth to monetary policy rate reduces for banks with CRAR above the threshold. Therefore, it can be concluded that monetary policy can influence the credit supply of banks depending on their capital position.
  • Loan Repayment Dynamics of Self-help Groups in India
    Silu Muduli, Manu Sharma
    Margin, 2022
    The overall ratio of non-performing assets (NPAs) to total advances (the NPA ratio) extended to self-help groups (SHGs) has historically remained below 8 per cent in India. However, in the central, northern, and north-eastern regions of India, this ratio is relatively high and has remained above 15 per cent since 2015–2016. Using state-level data, the study identifies SHG-specific and state-specific factors that might be responsible for higher NPAs ratios. It also examines whether higher NPAs constrain access to future credit. Spatial analysis confirms the existence of geographical clustering of NPAs in the northern and central regions of the country. SHGs with lower outstanding loans and lower savings are more likely to default, the relationship being stronger in states with higher NPAs. The article finds that states with higher SHGs densities, per capita incomes, and road and railway connectivity, and lower infant mortality rates have lower NPAs in their SHGs. SHGs with lower savings and higher NPAs operating in states with lower per capita incomes and banking penetration face difficulties accessing fresh credits. JEL Codes: G21, O18, R51
  • NPAs of SHGs in India: Behavioural aspects
    Economic and Political Weekly, 2021
  • Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?
    Sitikantha Pattanaik, Silu Muduli, Soumyajit Ray
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 2020
    This paper examines the usefulness of survey-based measures of inflation expectations to predict inflation using hybrid versions of New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC). While both 3 months ahead and 1-year ahead inflation expectations of households emerge statistically significant in explaining and predicting inflation in India, effectively they work as substitutes of backward looking expectations given that household expectations are found to be largely adaptive. Unlike in other countries, this paper does not find much evidence on flattening of the Phillips curve. Also, no robust evidence is found on expectations induced wage pressures influencing CPI inflation.
  • The invisible collateral
    Economic and Political Weekly, 2019

RECENT SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS

  • An Anatomy of Credit-Deposit Ratios Among Indian States
    S Muduli, T Behera
    The IUP Journal of Applied Economics 25 (1), 44-63 , 2026
    2026
    Citations: 2
  • Post-pandemic Credit Allocation and Real Economic Activities: Evidence from Indian Firms
    A Agarwal, R Bansal, S Muduli
    Journal of Quantitative Economics 23 (1), 85-103 , 2025
    2025
  • Funding Liquidity and Risk-Taking Behavior of Banks in India
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Journal of Emerging Market Finance 24 (1), 37-62 , 2025
    2025
    Citations: 1
  • COVID-19 and Performance of MSME Clusters in India
    S Muduli, R Das, D Rejith, A Acharya, R Golait, A Shivhare
    RBI Bulletin 78 (10), 235-254 , 2024
    2024
  • Creditworthiness: The Role of Trust in the Socioeconomic Network
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Journal of Quantitative Economics 22 (3), 571-588 , 2024
    2024
    Citations: 2
  • Low Stagflation Risk in India
    DP Rath, S Muduli, H Shekhar
    RBI Bulletin 77 (12), 93-104 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 2
  • Taming inflation by anchoring inflation expectations
    S Pattanaik, GV Nadhanael, S Muduli
    Economic and Political Weekly 58 (22), 33-41 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 12
  • Tail Risks of Inflation in India
    S Muduli, H Shekhar
    2023
    Citations: 6
  • Bank capital and monetary policy transmission in India
    S Muduli, H Behera
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 16 (1), 32-56 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 27
  • Assessing inflation expectations adjusting for Households’ Biases
    S Muduli, GV Nadhanael, S Pattanaik
    RBI Bulletin 76 (12), 97-107 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 8
  • Loan repayment dynamics of self-help groups in India
    S Muduli, M Sharma
    Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research 16 (2), 183-202 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 10
  • Zombies and the Process of Creative Destruction
    S Pattanaik, S Muduli, J Jose
    RBI Bulletin 76 (2), 53-66 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 9
  • Does Anchoring of Inflation Expectations Promote Monetary Policy Transmission in India?
    S Muduli
    2022
  • Capital Flows at Risk: India’s Experience
    S Muduli, H Behera, MD Patra
    RBI Bulletin 76 (6), 73-88 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 4
  • Impact of COVID-19 Packages on MSME Financing in India
    S Muduli
    Kiel, Hamburg: ZBW-Leibniz Information Centre for Economics , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 3
  • NPAs of SHGs in India: Behavioural Aspects
    S Muduli
    Economic and Political Weekly 56 (32), 4-5 , 2021
    2021
  • NPAs of SHGs in India: Behavioural Aspects
    S Muduli
    Economic and Political Weekly 56 (32), 4-5 , 2021
    2021
  • Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?
    S Pattanaik, S Muduli, S Ray
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 13 (3), 244-263 , 2020
    2020
    Citations: 44
  • Measuring financial capability of the street vendors
    DV Ramana, S Muduli
    Available at SSRN 3433606 , 2019
    2019
    Citations: 18
  • The invisible collateral
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Economic and Political Weekly 54 (48), 13-16 , 2019
    2019
    Citations: 2

MOST CITED SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS

  • Inflation expectations of households: do they influence wage-price dynamics in India?
    S Pattanaik, S Muduli, S Ray
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 13 (3), 244-263 , 2020
    2020
    Citations: 44
  • Bank capital and monetary policy transmission in India
    S Muduli, H Behera
    Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 16 (1), 32-56 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 27
  • Measuring financial capability of the street vendors
    DV Ramana, S Muduli
    Available at SSRN 3433606 , 2019
    2019
    Citations: 18
  • Taming inflation by anchoring inflation expectations
    S Pattanaik, GV Nadhanael, S Muduli
    Economic and Political Weekly 58 (22), 33-41 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 12
  • Loan repayment dynamics of self-help groups in India
    S Muduli, M Sharma
    Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research 16 (2), 183-202 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 10
  • Zombies and the Process of Creative Destruction
    S Pattanaik, S Muduli, J Jose
    RBI Bulletin 76 (2), 53-66 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 9
  • Assessing inflation expectations adjusting for Households’ Biases
    S Muduli, GV Nadhanael, S Pattanaik
    RBI Bulletin 76 (12), 97-107 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 8
  • Tail Risks of Inflation in India
    S Muduli, H Shekhar
    2023
    Citations: 6
  • Capital Flows at Risk: India’s Experience
    S Muduli, H Behera, MD Patra
    RBI Bulletin 76 (6), 73-88 , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 4
  • Impact of COVID-19 Packages on MSME Financing in India
    S Muduli
    Kiel, Hamburg: ZBW-Leibniz Information Centre for Economics , 2022
    2022
    Citations: 3
  • An Anatomy of Credit-Deposit Ratios Among Indian States
    S Muduli, T Behera
    The IUP Journal of Applied Economics 25 (1), 44-63 , 2026
    2026
    Citations: 2
  • Creditworthiness: The Role of Trust in the Socioeconomic Network
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Journal of Quantitative Economics 22 (3), 571-588 , 2024
    2024
    Citations: 2
  • Low Stagflation Risk in India
    DP Rath, S Muduli, H Shekhar
    RBI Bulletin 77 (12), 93-104 , 2023
    2023
    Citations: 2
  • The invisible collateral
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Economic and Political Weekly 54 (48), 13-16 , 2019
    2019
    Citations: 2
  • Inter-temporal Calculative Trust Design to Reduce Collateral Need for Business Credits
    SK Dash, S Muduli
    Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers 38 (1), 65-83 , 2018
    2018
    Citations: 2
  • Funding Liquidity and Risk-Taking Behavior of Banks in India
    S Muduli, SK Dash
    Journal of Emerging Market Finance 24 (1), 37-62 , 2025
    2025
    Citations: 1
  • Post-pandemic Credit Allocation and Real Economic Activities: Evidence from Indian Firms
    A Agarwal, R Bansal, S Muduli
    Journal of Quantitative Economics 23 (1), 85-103 , 2025
    2025
  • COVID-19 and Performance of MSME Clusters in India
    S Muduli, R Das, D Rejith, A Acharya, R Golait, A Shivhare
    RBI Bulletin 78 (10), 235-254 , 2024
    2024
  • Does Anchoring of Inflation Expectations Promote Monetary Policy Transmission in India?
    S Muduli
    2022
  • NPAs of SHGs in India: Behavioural Aspects
    S Muduli
    Economic and Political Weekly 56 (32), 4-5 , 2021
    2021