Abdulrazak Nur Mohamed
@simad.edu.so
faculty of accountancy
SIMAD University
EDUCATION
Masters in Accounting and project management
RESEARCH, TEACHING, or OTHER INTERESTS
Business, Management and Accounting, Economics, Econometrics and Finance, General Engineering, General Social Sciences
Scopus Publications
Scopus Publications
Abdulrazak Nur Mohamed and Idiris Sid Ali Mohamed
EconJournals
The aim of this study is to examine dynamic relationship among the prices of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and palladium), oil price, and the US dollar/euro exchange rate. Recent literature for precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, palladium) and oil depict a lot contradiction results of their nexus in the long and short runs. So that, there is still much to investigate and learn about their relationship between them and with the exchange rate. The monthly data span from January 1990 to October 2021 is utilized, the study applies the co-integration analysis, multivariate Granger causality test and Variance Decomposition (VDC) analysis. The result shows the evidence of a long-run equilibrium relationship but weak feedbacks in the short run. The precious metal markets respond significantly (but temporarily) to a shock in any of the prices of the other metal prices and the exchange rate. Furthermore, we discover some evidence of market overreactions in the palladium and platinum cases as well as in the oil market. The study implies whether there are overreactions and re-adjustments or not, investors may diversify at least a portion of the risk away by investing in precious metals, oil, and the euro.
Abdulrazak Nur Mohamed and Abdikani Yusuf Abdulle Abdulle
South Florida Publishing LLC
Purposes: Although there has been some progress since the 2012 establishment of the Federal Government Somalia, Foreign direct investment is the one of critical engines in economic growth. The latest value of foreign direct investment for 2021 was 5.97% of GDP, comparison of previous years to 2020 was 6.74% of GDP in Somalia. This paper aims to investigate the asymmetric effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow on economic growth in Somalia from 1977-2021. In addition to FDI, inflation, gross capital formation, and trade openness are used as control variables to examine their influence on economic growth. Design/Methodology/approach: This research employs the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) technique. Finding: The findings reveal that a positive shock in FDI positively influences Somalia's economic growth, while a negative FDI has a negative impact. The Wald test establishes the asymmetric effect of FDI on economic growth in both the short and long run. Moreover, trade openness and inflation rate significantly reduce the pace of economic growth in both the long and short run. However, gross capital formation only boosts economic growth in the long run. Research limitations/ implications: although Somali faced a lot of challenges including civil war, terrorists, macroeconomics instability, poor infrastructure, and corruptions are not considered owing to data availability. Policy implications: firstly, increase revenue through tax reforms and anti-corruption measures. Secondly, initiatives policies that help public finance investments and reduce trade barriers. Finally, maintain macroeconomic stability of inflation, and exchange rates, can help reduce the negative impact on economic growth improve the investment climate and Somalia’s image abroad.
Abdulrazak Nur Mohamed and Abdikani Yusuf Abdulle
International Information and Engineering Technology Association
Abdulrazak Nur Mohamed, Abdikani Yusuf Abdulle, and Abdihakim Omar Abdullahi
Conselho Nacional de Pesquisa e Pos-Graduacao em Direito - CONPEDI
Purposes: The last four decades, the value of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in Somalia has fluctuated between $339,000,000 in 2016 and $43,390,000 in 1970. Thus, this research investigated the factors influencing foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Somalia. Over the period from 1980-2017 and data are obtained from the World Bank. Design/ Methodology/ approach: this study used The Vector Auto regression (VAR) model. The econometric methodology to be utilized includes the unit root test for used Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), co-integration test, Johansen integration test and diagnostic test includes serial correlation, normality, heteroskedasticity and AR root test. Furthermore, they are also utilized for VAR Granger causality tests. Findings: The findings of this paper indicated unit root test showed that all variables except external debt are not stationary at the level but become stationary after first differencing at the 10% level of significant. The co-integration test indicates the relationships between variables are integrated. The Granger-causality test shows only one-way Granger-causality relationships from FDI to GDP, import and export variables or so-called unidirectional Granger causality. Moreover, impulse response function indicates results all variables are positive related in the short run and long run except for imports which is negative related with FDI. Although, GDP, imports and inflation are significant to FDI, but export and external debt are insignificant to FDI. Therefore, this research concludes that FDI influences economic growth in Somalia. Research limitations/ implications: Although this research has expended and evolved prior studied various respects, a comprehensive and systematic time-series study on FDI and its determinants in Somalia would involve more capitals than had been made available for this study. There are still a number of specific constrains to be noted on the investigating FDI and its determinants in this paper, some factors such as political and macroeconomic instability, human capital, infrastructure and corruptions are not considered owing to data availability. Moreover, it’s recommended that future studies could improvement widely and update research in FDI.