Multidisciplinary, Management Science and Operations Research, Safety Research, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
2
Scopus Publications
Scopus Publications
Determination of integral indicators characterizing the possibility of accommodating the evacuated population in the territory of the Republic of Kazakhstan Yernar Zh Akimbayev, Zhumabek Kh Akhmetov, Murat S Kuanyshbaev, Arman T Abdykalykov, Rashid V Ibrayev Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 2022 Studying the historical facts of past wars and armed conflicts and natural and man-made emergencies, today in the Republic of Kazakhstan one of the most important security issues is the preparation and organization of the evacuation of the population from possible dangerous zones, taking into account the emergence of new threats to the country’s security. The paper presents an algorithm for constructing universal scales of the distribution function of opportunities by types of support and rebuilding them into subject scales using display functions. The purpose of the paper is to determine the integral indicators characterizing the possibility of accommodation of the evacuated population and the impact on resources during relocation. On the subject scales of cities and districts of the region, indicators of the possibility of relocation of a certain amount of the evacuated population by types of support and indicators characterizing the impact on the district’s resources during resettlement of a certain amount of the evacuated population are determined. It was concluded that the use of integrated indicators allows the selection of areas to accommodate the evacuated population without the use of statistical data, in conditions of incomplete and inaccurate information. The presented method does not replace traditional methods based on classical methods of territory assessment by the level of life sustenance, but also allows their reasonable combination with the experience of specialists in this field, taking into account the incompleteness, uncertainty, and inconsistency of the initial data of the study area, which does not allow the application of existing methods.
Integrated methodology for substantiation of the rational district placement of the evacuated population Yernar Zh Akimbayev, Zhumabek Kh Akhmetov, Murat S Kuanyshbaev, Aleksandr I Mazanik, Asylbek T Abildin Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 2022 The paper formulates the scientific task of substantiating a rational area for the location of an evacuated population. The relevance of the study is due to the importance of the topic for national defence. The leading approach is the individual methodology developed using the scenario-logic-feasibility approach, which, as part of an integrated methodology, allows the rational location of the evacuated population in any administrative territory to be determined by the integrated indicator of opportunity. The paper considers approaches to the organization of population protection in modern conditions, conducting an analysis of the scientific and methodological apparatus in the field, and developing a new integrated methodology to justify the rational area of the evacuated population according to the integrated indicator of opportunity. The materials of the paper can be useful both for training students of military departments and for their practical value if the evacuation of a population is necessary.
