Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia

Scopus Publications

Barriers and good practices related to the implementation of capability-based planning in the Brazilian armed forces and evaluation by probabilistic preferences
Luiz Henrique Rodrigues da Silva, Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Oliveira, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Luiz Octávio Gavião
Defence Studies, 2025
Decision support based on performance data using the analytic hierarchy process without expert judgement
Luiz Octávio Gavião, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Leandro da Silva Teixeira
Brazilian Journal of Operations and Production Management, 2024
Goal: This article proposes a decision model based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process that allows carrying out the evaluation of alternatives in a multicriteria problem, without expert judgement. Design / Methodology / Approach: The algorithm is based on AHP. The novelty is the transformation of a performance data matrix into pairwise evaluation matrices, instead of using experts’ judgement. Results: The algorithm was applied in a defense procurement problem for the choice of a light 4x4 vehicle for amphibious operations. The results allowed ranking the 17 models based on catalog data. Limitations of the investigation: the algorithm depends on the availability of catalog data, not always available in open sources in the defense industry. Practical implications: Decision support involves several activities in Operations Management and AHP has been frequently applied to solve problems in this sector. The proposed algorithm allows performing deterministic or probabilistic evaluations, depending on the degree of uncertainty and precision involving the systems’ performance data. These assessments are composed of scenarios to facilitate decision making. Originality / Value: AHP typically uses experts for pairwise judgments. However, human judgment is subject to outcomes that involve bias and cognitive distortions. Few studies have modeled the AHP without experts, even so they used human judgment in some part of the process. The approach proposed here does not require human judgment and returns two different results, based on the database precision. This new approach gives decision makers a different perspective and can alter the final choice.
Importance measures for performance shaping factors of human reliability analysis
Tob R. de Albuquerque, José de Jesús R. Oliva, Pedro L. C. Saldanha, Pauli Adriano A. Garcia
Process Safety Progress, 2023
The crew of a nuclear‐powered submarine under development in Brasil plays an important role in its safety. For this reason, crew members must be trained in procedures against undesired events. However, information that would help to accurately decrease human error probability (HEP) on board nuclear‐powered submarines is not available in the literature. Therefore, a methodology is required to obtain this information. This study introduces importance measures to evaluate the contribution of performance shaping factors (PSFs) and their levels to HEP. Importance measures Fussell‐Vesely, risk reduction worth, risk achievement worth, and Birnbaum importance, commonly used in probabilistic safety assessment, are introduced to identify PSFs and PSF levels that contribute the most to HEP. The proposed approach is focused on identifying HEP's main contributors, oriented toward decision‐making. The methodology uses the PSFs established in the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk‐Human Reliability Analysis method and a Bayesian network to quantify HEP. Moreover, the results of an application case demonstrate the method's effectiveness in integrating expert opinions into representative values of HEP and in identifying critical PSFs and PSF levels that should be the object of the decision‐making process to improve human performance.
SPARE PARTS CONSUMPTION FORECASTING USING A HIERARCHICAL BAYESIAN MODEL
Marcello Dantas Gomes Júnior, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Pesquisa Operacional, 2023
Well integrity assessment under uncertainty considerations and evaluation of the workover frequency impact
Danilo Colombo, Danilo Taverna Martins Pereira de Abreu, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Paulo Fernando Ferreira Frutuoso e Melo, et al.
Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering, 2022
RELIABILITY ALLOCATION CONSIDERING RISK INDICATORS AND THEIR UNCERTAINTIES THROUGH PROBABILISTIC COMPOSITION OF PREFERENCES
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Luiz Octávio Gavião, Gilson Brito Alves Lima
Pesquisa Operacional, 2022
PROPOSAL OF AN OPTIMAL REDUNDANCY AND RELIABILITY ALLOCATION APPROACH FOR DESIGNING COMPLEX SYSTEMS
P. A. A. Garcia, T. A. Neves, C. M. C. Jacinto, G. B. Alvarez, V. S. Garcia, et al.
Pesquisa Operacional, 2022
Performance analysis of professional soccer goalkeepers by Composition of Probabilistic Preferences
Luiz Octávio Gavião, Erick Vieira Gavião, Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Revista Brasileira De Ciencias do Esporte, 2021
This research aims to assist managers and technical commissions to choose professional soccer goalkeepers. A sample of 64 goalkeepers playing in Argentina and Brazil was studied. Their performance in the matches of two seasons were analyzed considering three criteria: goals against per minute played, percentage of goals and percentage of matches without conceded goals. The Composition of Probabilistic Preferences (CPP) was the method chosen for modeling, considering the random variability in the problem data and in football, considered one of the most unpredictable sports. CPP allowed to compare the choice based on the data analysis to the latest goalkeeper call-ups for these countries’ national teams. The selected goalkeepers corresponded to those presenting the best individual performance, which confirms the model.
MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION SUPPORT TO CRIMINOLOGY BY GRAPH THEORY AND COMPOSITION OF PROBABILISTIC PREFERENCES
Luiz Octávio Gavião, Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Lucio Camara e Silva, Sergio Kostin, et al.
Pesquisa Operacional, 2021
Experts' opinion-based Bayesian Inference for the Coverage Factor in BOP Reliability
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Fernanda Abizethe de Carvalho Duim, Pedro Luiz da Cruz Saldanha, Carlos Magno Couto Jacinto, Gilson Brito Alves Lima
IEEE Latin America Transactions, 2020
Selecting a Cargo Aircraft for Humanitarian and Disaster Relief Operations by Multicriteria Decision Aid Methods
Luiz Octavio Gaviao, Annibal Parracho SantAnna, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Sergio Kostin, et al.
IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2020
Evaluation of soccer players under the Moneyball concept
Luiz Octávio Gavião, Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Journal of Sports Sciences, 2020
Genetic algorithm optimization of preventive maintenance scheduling for repairable systems modeled by generalized renewal process
Safety Reliability and Risk Analysis Theory Methods and Applications Volume 1, 2020
Selecting Distribution Centers in Disaster Management by Network Analysis and Composition of Probabilistic Preferences
Luiz Octávio Gavião, Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Alessandro Mello de Sousa
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics, 2020
Quantitative analysis of integrity failures in subsea oil wells using a Markovian model
Danilo Colombo, Danilo Taverna Martins Pereira de Abreu, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Gilson Brito Alves Lima, Maurício Moraes Neves, et al.
SPE Production and Operations, 2019
Estimating BOP kill-line failure probability combining high level and experts opinion informations
MILTON GEORGE FONSECA KAMPFFE, Fernanda Abizethe de Carvalho Duim, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Pedro Luiz da Cruz Saldanha, Carlos Magno Couto Jacinto, et al.
IEEE Latin America Transactions, 2018
Reliability study of subsurface safety valve control system in oil wells
Risk Reliability and Safety Innovating Theory and Practice Proceedings of the 26th European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2016, 2017
Patento-scientometric indicators for the selection of projects by investment funds
Gustavo da Silva Motta, Rogério Hermida Quintella, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Vine, 2015
Vendor and logistics provider selection in the construction sector: A probabilistic preferences composition approach
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Annibal Parracho Sant'Anna
Pesquisa Operacional, 2015
Multiobjective optimization of strategies for operation and testing of low-demand safety instrumented systems using a genetic algorithm and fault trees
Antonio Eduardo Bier Longhi, Artur Alves Pessoa, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015
A patento-scientometric approach to venture capital investment prioritization
Gustavo da Silva Motta, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Rogério Hermida Quintella
Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 2015
Combined use of composition of probabilistic preferences and entropy weighting for failure mode prioritization
Pauli Garcia, Vanessa Garcia, Pedro Saldanha, Carlos Jacinto
Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2015, 2015
A new approach to prevention of accidents based on the application of control charts
Safety Reliability and Risk Analysis Beyond the Horizon Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2013, 2014
Probabilistic preferences composition for failure mode prioritization in FMEA
Safety Reliability and Risk Analysis Beyond the Horizon Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2013, 2014
A data envelopment analysis approach to safety improvements based on FMEA
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Gestao E Producao, 2013
A weight restricted DEA model for FMEA risk prioritization
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Ilton Curty Leal Junior, Murilo Alvarenga Oliveira
Producao, 2013
A data envelopment analysis approach to choose transport modes based on eco-efficiency
Ilton Curty Leal, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, Márcio de Almeida D’Agosto
Environment Development and Sustainability, 2012
A Linear Programming approach to risk prioritization in FMEA
Advances in Safety Reliability and Risk Management Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2011, 2012
A modal choice approach for freight transportation considering accident risks and eco-efficiency
Advances in Safety Reliability and Risk Management Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference Esrel 2011, 2012
Near surface repository reliability analysis considering parameter uncertainties
Reliability Risk and Safety Back to the Future, 2010
Influence of TBF probability models over preventive maintenance policies
Reliability Risk and Safety Back to the Future, 2010
Genetic algorithm optimization of preventive maintenance scheduling for repairable systems modeled by Generalized Renewal Process
Safety Reliability and Risk Analysis Theory Methods and Applications Proceedings of the Joint Esrel and SRA Europe Conference, 2009
Testing and preventive maintenance scheduling optimization for aging systems modeled by generalized renewal process
Vinícius Correa Damaso, Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia
Pesquisa Operacional, 2009
Aplicação de um modelo fuzzy dea para priorizar modos de falha em sistemas nucleares
Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia, P. F. Frutuoso e Melo, R. Schirru
Pesquisa Operacional, 2009
A Semi-Markov model with Bayesian Belief Network based human reliability modeling for availability assessment of downhole optical monitoring systems
Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2007 Esrel 2007 Risk Reliability and Societal Safety, 2007
Optimizing downhole safety valve test scheduling using a multiobjective genetic algorithm
Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Psam 2006, 2006
Probability assessment of offshore oil multilateral wells construction process in Brazil
Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Psam 2006, 2006
Availability assessment of onshore oil fields
Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2006 Esrel 2006 Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk, 2006
Reliability assessment of offshore oil multilateral wells in Brazil
E. Lopez Droguett, W. Barbosa dos Santos, C. Magno Jacinto, G. Sotomayor, P.A. Garcia
Proceedings Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, 2006
Reliability modeling of multilateral wells construction process
Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference 2006 Esrel 2006 Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk, 2006
A fuzzy data envelopment analysis approach for FMEA
P.A.A. Garcia, R. Schirru, P.F. Frutuoso E^Melo
Progress in Nuclear Energy, 2005
A multiobjective genetic algorithm for blowout preventer test scheduling optimization
Proceedings of the 14th IASTED International Conference on Applied Simulation and Modelling, 2005

Pauli Adriano de Almada Garcia

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Scopus Publications