Statistics and Probability, Modeling and Simulation
5
Scopus Publications
53
Scholar Citations
4
Scholar h-index
1
Scholar i10-index
Scopus Publications
An effectiveness study of the Bayesian inference with multivariate autoregressive moving average processes Mohammed Albassam, Emad E. A. Soliman, Sherif S. Ali Communications in Statistics Simulation and Computation, 2023 Multivariate time series may be found in many fields of application such as economics, meteorology, and utilities. In economics, for example, one may record yearly money supply and real interest rate. These variables are modeled, and the parameters are estimated jointly to understand the nature of the dynamic relationships between variables and increase the precisions of the estimates. Better estimates can be achieved when the series are modeled jointly if there is information on one series contained in the others. Shaarawy has introduced an analytical approximate Bayesian methodology for the statistical inference of multivariate autoregressive moving average (VARMA) processes. The main objective of the current study is to investigate the numerical effectiveness of his proposed methodology in solving the estimation problems of multivariate VARMA processes by conducting a wide simulation study. Moreover, the study investigates the sensitivity of the numerical effectiveness of the proposed methodology with respect to the parameters’ values and time series length. Simulation results showed that the methodology succeeded in estimating the parameters of VARMA models, for all parameters’ values and time series lengths.
Bayesian Estimation of Multivariate Pure Moving Average Processes Mohammed Albassam, Emad E. A. Soliman, Sherif S. Ali IEEE Access, 2022 The multivariate estimation problems arise if the observations are available for several related variables of interest. The multivariate time series may be found in many fields of application such as economics, meteorology and utilities. The current study has three main objectives. The first one is to develop an approximate convenient Bayesian methodology to estimate the parameters of multivariate moving average processes. The second objective is to investigate the numerical efficiency of the proposed technique in solving the estimation problems by conducting a wide simulation study. The last objective is to study the sensitivity of the numerical efficiency with respect to the parameters values and time series length. The results show that the proposed technique succeeded in estimating the parameters of the multivariate moving average processes. The results are not sensitive to the changes in parameter values or in time series length.
Mixed integer nonlinear goal programming approach to variable selection in linear regression Mohammed Albassam, Ali El Hefnawy, Emad E. A. Soliman Communications in Statistics Simulation and Computation, 2021 Several methods have been proposed in regression analysis for variable selection. Such methods enable researchers to distinguish between significant and insignificant variables, thus they provide a parsimonious regression model based solely on significant variables. Classical methods for variable selection include forward selection, backward elimination, and stepwise regression. The use of these methods is restricted by some strict assumptions about the given data. In the current study a new Mixed Integer Nonlinear Goal Programing model, which dispenses with these rigid assumptions, is introduced. The new model is less sensitive to outliers and allows incorporating any necessary restrictions on the model’s parameters. The performance of the new model is compared with the Classical methods using large scale simulation studies. The evaluation of the proposed method and the Classical methods will be done based on the proportion of correct selection of the significant independent variables.
On bayesian identification of autoregressive processes Emad El-Din Abdel-Salam Soliman, Samir Mostafa Shaarawy, Waseem W. Sorour Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research, 2015 The main objective of the current study is to handle the identification problem of autoregressive processes from the Bayesian point of view. Two Bayesian identification approaches are considered. They are referred to as the direct and the indirect approaches. The two approaches are employed to solve the Bayesian identification problem of autoregressive processes using three well known priors. These priors are the G prior, the Natural-Conjugate prior and Jeffrey's prior. The theoretical derivations related to the two Bayesian identification approaches are conducted using the above mentioned priors. Moreover, the performance of the two techniques, using each of the three priors, is investigated via comprehensive simulation studies. Simulation results show that the two techniques are adequate to solve the identification problem of autoregressive processes. The increase in the time series length leads to better performance for each technique. The use of different priors doesn't affect the previous results.
Bayesian identification of moving average models Samir M. Shaarawy, Emad E. A. Soliman, Sherif S. Ali Communications in Statistics Theory and Methods, 2007 This study approaches the Bayesian identification of moving average processes using an approximate likelihood function and a normal gamma prior density. The marginal posterior probability mass function of the model order is developed in a convenient form. Then one may investigate the posterior probabilities over the grid of the order and choose the order with the highest probability to solve the identification problem. A comprehensive simulation study is carried out to demonstrate the performance of the proposed procedure and check its adequacy in handling the identification problem. In addition, the proposed Bayesian procedure is compared with some non Bayesian automatic techniques and another Bayesian technique. The numerical results support the adequacy of using the proposed procedure in solving the identification problem of moving average processes.
RECENT SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS
Assessment of the performance of the Bayesian Forecasting for Vector ARMA Processes EEA Soliman, SS Ali SCOPUA Journal of Applied Statistical Research 2 (1) , 2026 2026
Bayesian Identification of Seasonal Vector ARMA Processes EEA Shaarawy, S.M., Ali, S.S. and Soliman The Egyptian Statistical Journal 68 (2), 129-146 , 2024 2024 Citations: 2
An effectiveness study of the Bayesian inference with multivariate autoregressive moving average processes M Albassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali Communications in statistics-Simulation and Computation 52 (10), 4773-4788 , 2023 2023 Citations: 4
A Direct Bayesian Methodology to Identify the Order of Moving Average Processes using Different Prior Distributions MS Al Bassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 66 (2), 1-16 , 2022 2022 Citations: 3
Bayesian estimation of multivariate pure moving average processes M Albassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali IEEE Access 10, 14225-14235 , 2022 2022 Citations: 4
Mixed integer nonlinear goal programming approach to variable selection in linear regression M Albassam, A El Hefnawy, EEA Soliman Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 50 (12), 4028-4040 , 2021 2021 Citations: 1
A Bayesian Algorithm to Identify the Orders of Vector Moving-Average Processes with Seasonality ASSSEEA Shaarawy SM The Egyptian Statistical Journal 64 (No.1), 1-20 , 2021 2021 Citations: 4
Indirect and Direct Bayesian Techniques to Identify The orders of Vector ARMA Processes SS Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 62 (No.1), 15-34 , 2018 2018 Citations: 1
Bayesian Prediction of Moving Average Processes using Different Types of Priors SH Shaarawy SM, Soliman EEA The Egyptian Statistical Journal 62 (1), 35-52 , 2018 2018 Citations: 1
Estimating the Orders of Bivariate Mixed ARMA(p,q) Processes using Bayesian Approach SE E A The Egyptian Statistical Journal 60 (1), 1-19 , 2016 2016
On bayesian identification of autoregressive processes EEDAS Soliman, SM Shaarawy, WW Sorour Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research, 11-28 , 2015 2015 Citations: 2
On Bayesian Identification of Autoregressive Processes. SM Shaarawy, EEA Soliman, WW Sorour Pakistan Journal of Statistics & Operation Research 11 (1) , 2015 2015
BTS 1.0 : A Computer Package to do a Complete Bayesian Analysis of Autoregressive Processes SS Assas, B.M., Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 59 (2), 213-236 , 2015 2015
Selection of Prior Distribution in the Indirect Bayesian Identification of Moving Average Models SS Albassam, M.S., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali Canadian Journal on Computing in Mathematics, Natural Sciences, Engineering … , 2013 2013
Bayesian identification of seasonal moving average models RM Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and El-Souda The Egyptian Statistical Journal 55 (1), 40-52 , 2011 2011 Citations: 3
Bayesian prediction of autoregressive models using different types of priors H Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Shahin The Egyptian Statistical Journal 54 (2), 108-126 , 2010 2010 Citations: 3
On Bayesian identification of moving average models AM Soliman, E.E.A. and Abdel Fattah The Egyptian Statistical Journal 53 (2), 106-124 , 2009 2009
Efficiency of the approximate Bayesian prediction of ARMA models: A simulation study SE E A The Egyptian Statistical Journal 52 (2), 56-75 , 2008 2008
Bayesian identification of moving average models SM Shaarawy, EEA Soliman, SS Ali Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 36 (12), 2301-2312 , 2007 2007 Citations: 17
Direct and indirect Bayesian identification of seasonal autoregressive models RM Soliman, E.E.A. and El-Souda The Ninteenth Annual Conference on Statistics and Modeling in Human and … , 2007 2007
MOST CITED SCHOLAR PUBLICATIONS
Bayesian identification of moving average models SM Shaarawy, EEA Soliman, SS Ali Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 36 (12), 2301-2312 , 2007 2007 Citations: 17
On direct and indirect Bayesian identification of autoregressive models AL Daif, EA Soliman, SS Ali The 14th Annual Conference on Statistics and Computer Modeling in Human and … , 2003 2003 Citations: 8
An effectiveness study of the Bayesian inference with multivariate autoregressive moving average processes M Albassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali Communications in statistics-Simulation and Computation 52 (10), 4773-4788 , 2023 2023 Citations: 4
Bayesian estimation of multivariate pure moving average processes M Albassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali IEEE Access 10, 14225-14235 , 2022 2022 Citations: 4
A Bayesian Algorithm to Identify the Orders of Vector Moving-Average Processes with Seasonality ASSSEEA Shaarawy SM The Egyptian Statistical Journal 64 (No.1), 1-20 , 2021 2021 Citations: 4
A Direct Bayesian Methodology to Identify the Order of Moving Average Processes using Different Prior Distributions MS Al Bassam, EEA Soliman, SS Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 66 (2), 1-16 , 2022 2022 Citations: 3
Bayesian identification of seasonal moving average models RM Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and El-Souda The Egyptian Statistical Journal 55 (1), 40-52 , 2011 2011 Citations: 3
Bayesian prediction of autoregressive models using different types of priors H Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Shahin The Egyptian Statistical Journal 54 (2), 108-126 , 2010 2010 Citations: 3
Bayesian Identification of Seasonal Vector ARMA Processes EEA Shaarawy, S.M., Ali, S.S. and Soliman The Egyptian Statistical Journal 68 (2), 129-146 , 2024 2024 Citations: 2
On bayesian identification of autoregressive processes EEDAS Soliman, SM Shaarawy, WW Sorour Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research, 11-28 , 2015 2015 Citations: 2
Mixed integer nonlinear goal programming approach to variable selection in linear regression M Albassam, A El Hefnawy, EEA Soliman Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 50 (12), 4028-4040 , 2021 2021 Citations: 1
Indirect and Direct Bayesian Techniques to Identify The orders of Vector ARMA Processes SS Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman, E.E.A. and Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 62 (No.1), 15-34 , 2018 2018 Citations: 1
Bayesian Prediction of Moving Average Processes using Different Types of Priors SH Shaarawy SM, Soliman EEA The Egyptian Statistical Journal 62 (1), 35-52 , 2018 2018 Citations: 1
Assessment of the performance of the Bayesian Forecasting for Vector ARMA Processes EEA Soliman, SS Ali SCOPUA Journal of Applied Statistical Research 2 (1) , 2026 2026
Estimating the Orders of Bivariate Mixed ARMA(p,q) Processes using Bayesian Approach SE E A The Egyptian Statistical Journal 60 (1), 1-19 , 2016 2016
On Bayesian Identification of Autoregressive Processes. SM Shaarawy, EEA Soliman, WW Sorour Pakistan Journal of Statistics & Operation Research 11 (1) , 2015 2015
BTS 1.0 : A Computer Package to do a Complete Bayesian Analysis of Autoregressive Processes SS Assas, B.M., Shaarawy, S.M., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali The Egyptian Statistical Journal 59 (2), 213-236 , 2015 2015
Selection of Prior Distribution in the Indirect Bayesian Identification of Moving Average Models SS Albassam, M.S., Soliman E.E.A. and Ali Canadian Journal on Computing in Mathematics, Natural Sciences, Engineering … , 2013 2013
On Bayesian identification of moving average models AM Soliman, E.E.A. and Abdel Fattah The Egyptian Statistical Journal 53 (2), 106-124 , 2009 2009
Efficiency of the approximate Bayesian prediction of ARMA models: A simulation study SE E A The Egyptian Statistical Journal 52 (2), 56-75 , 2008 2008